Period
-
Funding entity:
Santa Casa da Misericórdia de Lisboa
Summary
CoLABOR developed demographic projections for the municipality of Lisbon and at the geographical level of the parishes, for the period 2021-2041. The estimation models used were the Cohort Components Method and the Hamilton-Perry model. Three scenarios were designed for each method - central scenario (reproducing recent trends), pessimistic scenario (lower fertility rates and lower net migration) and optimistic scenario (higher fertility rates and higher net migration). The two estimation models were also combined to make the projections more robust at the municipal and sub-municipal levels.
Partner institutions:
-
CoLABOR Team:
Bárbara Ferreira (coordinator),
Sónia Costa (coordinator),
Luís Manso,
Frederico Cantante,
Tiago Teixeira,
Tânia Almeida,
Clara Oliveira
Results
-